Thursday, May 24, 2012

The Bitcoin Collapse That Never Happened (The Atlantic Wire)

The original run-up in prices could easily be explained as a speculative bubble, and the subsequent decline as the popping of that bubble. But if that were the whole story, then the value of Bitcoins should have continued to decline as more and more people lost confidence in the currency. That hasn't been happening. 

There are plenty of reasons Bitcoin doesn't make sense as a currency: It's complicated; has no real value behind it; it hasn't proven stable; it's not widely accepted; it's hard to keep track of. No, thanks.

Related: Bitcoin Cyber Geeks Outraged at Paul Krugman

But, Bitcoin might have a place in our money-exchange system, after-all. It might be a niche place, as Lee suggests. He theorizes that the Internet currency is actually a "meta-currency" that allows for low-cost and regulation free money-transfers and might serve to replace Western Union. For example, someone who doesn't want the government to notice might prefer Bitcoin transfers over a traditional route. But there are some that think Bitcoin has a real future. Some of "the more serious members of the community" are working to keep it alive, reports Wired's Benjamin Wallace. Mt. Gox, a Tokyo based Bitcoin exchange side, is developing "point-of-sale" hardware -- places to check out. And, two Colorado Bitcoiners have launched Bitcoin Deals, an Internet store that deals in Bitcoins and sells "375,000 products." 

Related: The Race to Unmask Bitcoin's Inventor(s)

Of course, none of these things fix the persistent problems. And, skepticism outside of the cyber-currency's community hasn't let up. Stefan Brands, a cryptography researcher and e-money expert, told Wallace he thought it was a "pyramid scheme" designed only to reward early adopters. Really, with this currency's track record, it could all crash back down tomorrow. 

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